
Resolved No on 1 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.3%. Yes opened at 49.5% on 28 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 59 daily closes on record from 28 Jan 2026 to 29 Mar 2026 (2 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 57% on 3 Mar 2026 and the lowest 1.7% on 29 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 29 points down, to 28% on 5 Mar 2026. $2.24K traded over the market's life.
11 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 1, 7:37 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 59 points, 28 Jan 2026 – 29 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Jan 2026 | 49.5% |
| 29 Mar 2026 | 1.7% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| TENETENET | Yes | 500 |
| 16r0ob | Yes | 96.02 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 50 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for the KOSPI Composite Index (^KS11) on the final trading day of the first quarter of 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The first quarter of 2026 ends on March 31, 2026. The closing price for the final day of trading on or before this date will be used to resolve this market. If the final trading day of the quarter is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the KOSPI Composite Index (^KS11) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EKS11/history/, published under "Historical Data."
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-kospi-ks11-close-above-end-of-q1
| Yes |
| 15 |
| dan333 | Yes | 10 |
| hesure | Yes | 10 |
| rocketcrypto | Yes | 5 |
| rikitikitaki | Yes | 5 |
| mdgc | Yes | 5 |
| ffsFsfq | Yes | 2.84 |
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