Analytics
Resolved No on 11 Oct 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 96%. Yes opened at 4% on 28 Aug 2024. Before it settled, across the 45 daily closes on record from 28 Aug 2024 to 11 Oct 2024, the highest close was 11% on 10 Oct 2024 and the lowest 1.9% on 2 Oct 2024. Its largest one-day move was 7.1 points down, to 4% on 11 Oct 2024. $61.13K traded over the market's life.
6 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 12, 3:16 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 45 points, 28 Aug 2024 – 11 Oct 2024, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Aug 2024 | 4.0% |
| 11 Oct 2024 | 4.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 123.19K |
| qrpenc | Yes | 3.72K |
| Sexytrump69 | Yes | 1.32K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
2025 World Series Winner
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/world-series-champion-2024
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Yes |
| 289 |
| Oleworm | Yes | 222.22 |
| scrimple | No | 0.02 |
