Analytics
Resolved No on 21 Nov 2023.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 64.5% on 16 Nov 2023. Before it settled, across the 6 daily closes on record from 16 Nov 2023 to 21 Nov 2023, the highest close was 64.5% on 16 Nov 2023 and the lowest 0.1% on 21 Nov 2023. Its largest one-day move was 20 points down, to 17.5% on 19 Nov 2023. $9.66K traded over the market's life.
1 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 21, 10:49 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 16 Nov 2023 – 21 Nov 2023
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Nov 2023 | 64.5% |
| 21 Nov 2023 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Rapid Pioneer 757C | Yes | 20 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if 'Hunger Games: Ballad of Songbirds & Snakes' (2023) has a higher domestic opening weekend gross than 'The Marvels' (2023) on its domestic opening weekend. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The respective "Domestic Weekend" tabs on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt10545296/ (for days Nov 17 - 19) and https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl247366145/ (for days Nov 10 - 12) will be used to resolve this market once the values for 'Hunger Games: Ballad of Songbirds & Snakes' 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates). Please note, this market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo number under Domestic Weekend for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is no final data available by November 27, 2023, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/hunger-games-ballad-of-songbirds-snakes-opening-weekend
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