Analytics
Yes is at 1.1%, down 19 points from 20% when the market opened on 15 Oct 2026.
Across the 13 daily closes on record from 15 Oct 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 35.5% on 24 Oct 2026 and the lowest 1.1% on 30 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 30%. Its largest one-day move was 21 points down, to 11.5% on 18 Oct 2026.
65m-75m ranks fifth of the 6 outcomes in “"The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping" Opening Weekend Box Office”. 105m+ leads at 79.3%; 95m-105m is at 11.5%.
$2.85K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $8.6K since listing. The order book holds $3.74K, with a 0.2% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 225 trades, $307.34 bought Yes and $4.27K bought No.
The largest Yes position is Trestik with 953 shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 2.5K. Ten wallets hold 80.9% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 22 Nov 2026, 24 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 11:27 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 13 points, 15 Oct 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 15 Oct 2026 | 20.0% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 1.1% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 2.49K |
| enderone | No | 2.14K |
| Trestik | Yes | 953 |
This market will resolve according to how much "The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (November 20 - 22) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by November 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/the-hunger-games-sunrise-on-the-reaping-opening-weekend-box-office
| coinflip123 |
| Yes |
| 785.51 |
| shovelingdigging | No | 687.2 |
| Terry241129 | Yes | 540.5 |
| soulMY | Yes | 300 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 268.15 |
| Touge | Yes | 245.4 |
| Precious-Optimal | Yes | 237 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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