Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 59-60°F on December 12?

Resolved

No, settled Dec 13, 2025 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$4.5K

Resolved

Settled

Dec 13, 2025 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 13 Dec 2025.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 99%. Yes opened at 2.5% on 11 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 11 Dec 2025 to 13 Dec 2025, the highest close was 2.5% on 11 Dec 2025 and the lowest 0.3% on 12 Dec 2025. $4.5K traded over the market's life.

16 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Dec 14, 4:28 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 11 Dec 2025 – 13 Dec 2025, chart shows 0%–10%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
11 Dec 2025	2.5%
13 Dec 2025	1.0%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Bright Horizon 81D6	Yes	844
Maskache	Yes	500
Indigo Signal 2966	No	320.7
Emerald Pioneer D14A	Yes	295

10 of 16 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Dec '25. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.