Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 47°F or below on December 7?

Resolved

No, settled Dec 7, 2025 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$6.5K

Resolved

Settled

Dec 7, 2025 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 7 Dec 2025.

$6.51K traded over the market's life.

11 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Dec 8, 8:32 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 1 point, 7 Dec 2025, chart shows 0%–10%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
7 Dec 2025	0.9%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Bright Horizon 81D6	Yes	1.15K
Indigo Signal 2966	No	1.11K
wokerjoesleeper	Yes	340
Emerald Pioneer D14A	Yes	319
Crimson Vector F03A	Yes	312
Bold Scout BD7E	Yes	253
Bright Signal 14DE	Yes	201
Jade Harbor B075	Yes	200
Crimson Falcon C79A	Yes	136
triklozoid	Yes	14.99

10 of 11 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Dec '25. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.