Will the highest temperature in London be between 58-59°F on November 3?

Resolved

No, settled Nov 3, 2025 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$33.0K

Resolved

Settled

Nov 3, 2025 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 3 Nov 2025.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 90%. Yes opened at 28.5% on 1 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 1 Nov 2025 to 3 Nov 2025, the highest close was 28.5% on 1 Nov 2025 and the lowest 10% on 3 Nov 2025. Its largest one-day move was 10 points down, to 10% on 3 Nov 2025. $33.01K traded over the market's life.

28 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Nov 4, 4:28 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 1 Nov 2025 – 3 Nov 2025, chart shows 0%–40%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
1 Nov 2025	28.5%
3 Nov 2025	10.0%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
monkeyguy	Yes	5.85K
badmintonmonkey	Yes	4.76K
samhain4ik	Yes	1.48K
Indigo Signal 2966	No	1.08K

10 of 28 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Nov '25. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.