Will the highest temperature in London be between 58-59°F on November 14?

Resolved

No, settled Nov 15, 2025 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$36.7K

Resolved

Settled

Nov 15, 2025 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 15 Nov 2025.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 18.5% on 13 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 13 Nov 2025 to 15 Nov 2025, the highest close was 53.5% on 14 Nov 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 15 Nov 2025. Its largest one-day move was 53 points down, to 0.1% on 15 Nov 2025. $36.68K traded over the market's life.

63 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Nov 16, 12:33 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 13 Nov 2025 – 15 Nov 2025

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
13 Nov 2025	18.5%
15 Nov 2025	0.1%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	19.27K
VibeTrader	Yes	4.33K
monkeyguy	Yes	2.11K
Bright Horizon 81D6	Yes	1.23K

10 of 63 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Nov '25. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.