Analytics
Resolved No on 15 Oct 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 75.5%. Yes opened at 16.5% on 14 Oct 2025. Before it settled, the high was 24.5% on 15 Oct 2025 and the low 16.5% on 14 Oct 2025. Its largest one-day move was 8 points up, to 24.5% on 15 Oct 2025. $37.86K traded over the market's life.
14 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 16, 4:36 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 14 Oct 2025 – 15 Oct 2025, chart shows 10%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 14 Oct 2025 | 16.5% |
| 15 Oct 2025 | 24.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ehermite | Yes | 31.43K |
| ncap | Yes | 2.21K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.83K |
| RatAttack | Yes | 570.72 |
| yousefali | Yes | 334.99 |
| Ziigmund | Yes | 305 |
| caralambis | Yes | 100 |
| Emerald Pioneer C5D8 | Yes | 84 |
| VibeTrader | Yes | 50 |
| OmniStrat | Yes | 40 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Oct '25. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-london-on-october-15
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