Will the highest temperature in London be between 50-51°F on December 5?

Resolved

Yes, settled Dec 6, 2025 UTC

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Lifetime volume

$23.9K

Resolved

Yes

Settled

Dec 6, 2025 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved Yes on 6 Dec 2025.

The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.5%. Yes opened at 33% on 4 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 4 Dec 2025 to 6 Dec 2025, the highest close was 99.5% on 6 Dec 2025 and the lowest 33% on 4 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 64 points up, to 99.5% on 6 Dec 2025. $23.93K traded over the market's life.

24 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Dec 7, 8:28 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 4 Dec 2025 – 6 Dec 2025

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
4 Dec 2025	33.0%
6 Dec 2025	99.5%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	5.67K
jwbxui3hf8uw	No	1.8K
xmdtaqj74h65	No	1.65K
wokerjoesleeper	No	1.24K

10 of 24 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Dec '25. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.