Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in August be at least 105 mph?

Resolved

Yes, settled Sep 2, 2026 UTC

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Lifetime volume

$583

Resolved

Yes

Settled

Sep 2, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved Yes on 2 Sep 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 98.7%. Yes opened at 23.5% on 30 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 35 daily closes on record from 30 Jul 2026 to 2 Sep 2026, the highest close was 99% on 20 Aug 2026 and the lowest 22.5% on 31 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 29 points up, to 51.5% on 2 Aug 2026. $582.71 traded over the market's life.

9 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Oct 7, 8:08 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 35 points, 30 Jul 2026 – 2 Sep 2026

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
30 Jul 2026	23.5%
2 Sep 2026	98.7%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
TENETENET	No	100
MobileRabbit	No	53.2
79fsdfs	No	25.53

9 of 9 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve based on the highest wind speed, in miles per hour, reported on the summit of Mt. Washington in New Hampshire in August, 2026. The resolution source will be data published by the Mt. Washington Weather Observatory. F6 reports containing daily wind speed recordings can be found here: https://mountwashington.org/weather/mount-washington-weather-archives/monthly-f6/. The resolution source for this market measures wind speeds to whole mile per hour (eg, 67mph). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to the wind speed recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following month has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.