Analytics
Resolved No on 21 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 2.3% on 19 Jan 2025. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 19 Jan 2025 to 21 Jan 2025, the highest close was 2.3% on 19 Jan 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 21 Jan 2025. $13.3K traded over the market's life.
4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 22, 7:38 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 19 Jan 2025 – 21 Jan 2025, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Jan 2025 | 2.3% |
| 21 Jan 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 8.78K |
| avventus | Yes | 2.55K |
| harrismelissa | Yes | 1.01K |
| princecameron | Yes | 1K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ronald Reagan Washington National Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on January 20, 2025. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ronald Reagan Washington National Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/dc/washington/KDCA. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution source: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/dc/washington/KDCA
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-dc-on-inauguration-day
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