Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Dec 2023.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 24%. Yes opened at 71.5% on 27 Nov 2023. Before it settled, the high was 81% on 30 Nov 2023 and the low 66.5% on 28 Nov 2023. Its largest one-day move was 8.5 points up, to 81% on 30 Nov 2023. $29.95K traded over the market's life.
1 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 26, 3:10 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 5 points · 27 Nov 2023 – 1 Dec 2023 · axis zoomed to 60%–85%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Nov 2023 | 71.5% |
| 1 Dec 2023 | 76.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Panti | Yes | 18.16 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first ceasefire between Hamas and Israel pursuant to a hostage/prisoner exchange deal, which began on November 24, 2023, 7 AM IST (Israeli Standard Time), lasts at least 8 full days (192 consecutive hours). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible information and reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-the-hamas-x-israel-ceasefire-last-8-days
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