Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Dec 2023.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 62.5%. Yes opened at 49% on 29 Nov 2023. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 29 Nov 2023 to 1 Dec 2023, the highest close was 49% on 29 Nov 2023 and the lowest 37.5% on 1 Dec 2023. Its largest one-day move was 10 points down, to 37.5% on 1 Dec 2023. $9.45K traded over the market's life.
Polymarket record as of Apr 26, 2:57 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 29 Nov 2023 – 1 Dec 2023, chart shows 35%–55%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 29 Nov 2023 | 49.0% |
| 1 Dec 2023 | 37.5% |
Polymarket lists no holders for this market.
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first ceasefire between Hamas and Israel pursuant to a hostage/prisoner exchange deal, which began on November 24, 2023, 7 AM IST (Israeli Standard Time), lasts at least 10 full days (240 consecutive hours). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible information and reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-the-hamas-x-israel-ceasefire-last-10-days
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