Analytics
Paper trading
Resolved No on 6 Dec 2023.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 3.6% on 5 Dec 2023. Before it settled, the high was 3.6% on 5 Dec 2023 and the low 0.1% on 6 Dec 2023. $119.28K traded over the market's life.
12 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 26, 2:56 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 5 Dec 2023 – 6 Dec 2023, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 5 Dec 2023 | 3.6% |
| 6 Dec 2023 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Md1012 | Yes | 2.26K |
| Vansh Wassan | Yes | 1.92K |
| Zeno | Yes | 1.6K |
| manish | Yes | 1.44K |
| Dghost | Yes | 304.8 |
| derp69 | Yes | 71.43 |
| Breadalpha | Yes | 34.91 |
| Cryptic | Yes | 0.08 |
| pungus | Yes | 0.08 |
| ACreed | No | 0.07 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first official GTA 6 trailer gets over 600,000,000 views within 24 hours of being posted on YouTube. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only videos posted to the official Grand Theft Auto or Rockstar Games YouTube accounts will count toward the resolution of this market. Any video posted on any account or channel affiliated with Rockstar Games will not count toward the resolution of this market. If the video is deleted during the first 24 hours, the market will resolve 50-50. If YouTube is down or otherwise unavailable on the time of the final check, market resolution will be delayed for up to 3 days. If YouTube is still unavailable at that time, this market will resolve to 50-50. If, when checked on any of those three days allotted for a delay, over 600,000,000 views is recorded by YouTube, this market will resolve to "Yes". If multiple GTA 6 trailers are released simultaneously, this market will resolve based on the video with the highest number of views within the stated 24 hour period. If the GTA 6 trailer is not officially posted on YouTube by December 12, 2023, this market will resolve 50-50.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-the-gta-6-trailer-get-600m-views-on-day-1
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