
Resolved No on 6 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 91.5%. Yes opened at 21% on 31 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 31 Dec 2025 to 6 Jan 2026, the highest close was 35.5% on 2 Jan 2026 and the lowest 6.5% on 4 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 26 points up, to 35.5% on 2 Jan 2026. $2.95K traded over the market's life.
9 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 8, 12:21 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 31 Dec 2025 – 6 Jan 2026, chart shows 0%–50%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 31 Dec 2025 | 21.0% |
| 6 Jan 2026 | 8.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Better-Prelude | Yes | 50 |
| t189 | Yes | 49.99 |
| Spectrum | Yes | 32 |
| kiwikoby | Yes | 30 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 TV movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, January 6, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 global Netflix movie. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for Global Top 10 Movies (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by January 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-be-the-2-global-netflix-movie-this-week-835
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