Will the Government shutdown end October 3-5?

Resolved

No, settled Oct 6, 2025 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$1.0M

Resolved

Settled

Oct 6, 2025 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 6 Oct 2025.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 16.5% on 1 Oct 2025. Before it settled, across the 6 daily closes on record from 1 Oct 2025 to 6 Oct 2025, the highest close was 16.5% on 1 Oct 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 6 Oct 2025. Its largest one-day move was 9 points down, to 7.5% on 2 Oct 2025. $1.01M traded over the market's life.

201 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Oct 7, 8:34 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 1 Oct 2025 – 6 Oct 2025, chart shows 0%–20%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	178.25K
BowlOfPunch	Yes	64.48K
dddxx12	Yes	22K
Neighboring-Heartache	Yes	13.72K

10 of 201 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve to the calendar date range (ET) of the first day after September 30, 2025 which the U.S. The Office of Personnel Management (OPM) announces that the U.S. federal government is not shut down due to a lapse in appropriations. If OPM does not announce a shutdown on October 1, 2025 by 10:00 AM ET, this market will resolve to “No Shutdown.” Partial shutdowns count as shutdowns; announcements of office closures due to holidays or inclement weather do not qualify as a shutdown. The resolution source for this market will be OPM’s Operating Status page (https://www.opm.gov/policy-data-oversight/snow-dismissal-procedures/current-status/).