Analytics
Resolved No on 20 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 83%. Yes opened at 43% on 21 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 31 daily closes on record from 21 Nov 2025 to 20 Dec 2025, the highest close was 43% on 21 Nov 2025 and the lowest 16.5% on 19 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 24 points down, to 19.5% on 22 Nov 2025. $266.98K traded over the market's life.
36 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 21, 8:38 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 31 points, 21 Nov 2025 – 20 Dec 2025, chart shows 10%–50%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 Nov 2025 | 43.0% |
| 20 Dec 2025 | 17.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Countryside | Yes | 78.69K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 27.28K |
| DrPufferfish | Yes | 7.03K |
| plugturtled | Yes | 4.57K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers to the outcome of the fight between Jake Paul and Anthony Joshua scheduled for December 19, 2025 at the Kaseya Center in Miami, Florida. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the fight ends in the listed round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If the fight ends between rounds, it will be considered to have ended in the final completed round. For instance, if there is a corner stoppage between rounds 7 and 8, the market for the fight ending in round 7 will resolve to "Yes". If this fight is ruled a no contest, canceled, or postponed after January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source will be the official scoring of the fight, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/paul-vs-joshua-of-rounds
| Jade Falcon 2704 | Yes | 3.69K |
| Stattowins | Yes | 1.69K |
| bigdicknick | Yes | 1.36K |
| rbbor993 | Yes | 1.01K |
| plugturtledd | Yes | 569.54 |
| dankdank | Yes | 500 |
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