Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Nov 2023.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.5%. Yes opened at 45% on 20 Sep 2023. Before it settled, across the 43 daily closes on record from 20 Sep 2023 to 1 Nov 2023, the highest close was 45% on 20 Sep 2023 and the lowest 1.5% on 1 Nov 2023. Its largest one-day move was 27 points down, to 18.5% on 21 Sep 2023. $19.32K traded over the market's life.
3 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 1, 8:09 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 43 points, 20 Sep 2023 – 1 Nov 2023
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 20 Sep 2023 | 45.0% |
| 1 Nov 2023 | 1.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Fortunate-Coincidence | Yes | 346.15 |
| visage | Yes | 312.5 |
| Polymarkets2023 | Yes | 23.43 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Market Group on September Fed interest rates.
Resolution source: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/fed-interest-rates-november-2023
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