Will the Fed raise interest rates by 25 bps after its December meeting?

Resolved

No, settled Dec 13, 2023 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$27.2K

Resolved

Settled

Dec 13, 2023 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 13 Dec 2023.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.2%. Yes opened at 18.5% on 24 Oct 2023. Before it settled, across the 51 daily closes on record from 24 Oct 2023 to 13 Dec 2023, the highest close was 18.5% on 24 Oct 2023 and the lowest 0.8% on 22 Nov 2023. Its largest one-day move was 6.5 points down, to 8% on 4 Nov 2023. $27.15K traded over the market's life.

2 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Dec 14, 7:05 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 51 points, 24 Oct 2023 – 13 Dec 2023, chart shows 0%–25%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
24 Oct 2023	18.5%
13 Dec 2023	1.8%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
yuyuan	Yes	2K
Justa_D	Yes	519.73

2 of 2 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

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