What do the Yes and No prices mean?

At the last observation Yes traded at 100.0¢ and No at 0.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 100.0% for Yes and 0.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.

How did this market resolve?

It resolved Yes on 17 Jun 2026. Trading has stopped; the record of prices, holders and trades stays on this page.

How does this market resolve?

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: March 17-18, 2026; April 28-29; and June 16-17. A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the…

What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?

Volume is the dollar value of shares traded in a period, liquidity is the dollar value resting in the order book ready to be traded against, and open interest is the value of all shares currently held. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Who still holds shares in this market?

96 public wallets still held shares when Vultax last looked. Winners usually redeem their shares after settlement, so the remaining holders are mostly on the losing side.

Where does this data come from and how fresh is it?

Prices, the order book, holders and the trade tape come from Polymarket's public order book and data API. Vultax records each observation with its own timestamp (market facts last updated Jun 18, 8:43 PM UTC) and shows a value as unavailable rather than as zero when a source has not answered.

Can I trade this market on Vultax?

No. Vultax is a research and paper-trading terminal; it does not execute orders. The trade controls open the official market on Polymarket (https://polymarket.com/event/fed-decisions-mar-jun) or the Vultax predictions monitor, where you can track the market and paper trade it.

Resolved Yes: Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three…

Market referencewill-the-fed-pausepausepause-in-the-next-three-decisions-maraprjunUpdated Jun 18, 2026 UTC

Resolved

Yes · settled Jun 17, 2026 UTC

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Lifetime volume

$497.9K

Resolved

Yes

Settled

Jun 17, 2026 UTC

Source Evidence

Evidence coverage

Items

Fetched

Latest

Aug 13, 2026 UTC

Public Polymarket market/event context is available; Vultax source-pack coverage is tracked separately.

Depth

Observed

Jun 18, 2026 UTC

This closed market has no live orderbook depth; the public close quote is shown for context.

Trading stateMarket usability at the displayed observation.

Market state

Resolved

Order book

Captured book available

Final outcome

Yes

The resolved venue state is treated as proof of resolution; holder and trade rows are settlement context.

Holder depthCapped public top-holder sample.

Rows loaded

Wallets

Top 10 share

97%

Yes / No shares

137.41 / 160.75K

Rows reflect the positive holders returned for this market, not venue-wide open interest.

Recent tapeLatest public market trades.

Trades loaded

500

Wallets

114

Loaded notional

$39.38K

Yes sell at 99.9%

History rangePolymarket CLOB price history · daily closes · latest observation Jun 17, 12:00 AM UTC

Points

116

Move

+60 pts

Range

21.0% - 99.6%

Jan 30, 12:00 AM UTC to Jun 17, 12:00 AM UTC

PricesPolymarket CLOB price history · daily closes · latest observation Jun 17, 12:00 AM UTC

Depth historyCheckSubscriber depth access is checked only when requested, keeping the public page fast.

Bucket	Close	Mid
Jun 17, 12:00 AM UTC	99.6%	99.6%
Jun 16, 12:00 AM UTC	99.3%	99.3%
Jun 15, 12:00 AM UTC	99.5%	99.5%

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

Questions

Questions about this market

What is the “Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?” market asking?: It asks whether the following will happen: Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)? It is one of the markets in the Polymarket event “Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)”. Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.
What do the Yes and No prices mean?: At the last observation Yes traded at 100.0¢ and No at 0.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 100.0% for Yes and 0.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.
How did this market resolve?: It resolved Yes on 17 Jun 2026. Trading has stopped; the record of prices, holders and trades stays on this page.
How does this market resolve?: The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: March 17-18, 2026; April 28-29; and June 16-17. A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the…
What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?: Volume is the dollar value of shares traded in a period, liquidity is the dollar value resting in the order book ready to be traded against, and open interest is the value of all shares currently held. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Analytics

Bucket

Mid

Spread

Volume

Trades

Jun 17, 12:00 AM UTC

99.6%

Jun 16, 12:00 AM UTC

99.3%

Jun 15, 12:00 AM UTC

99.5%

Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

Questions about this market

Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

Questions about this market