Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Feb 2023.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 97%. Yes opened at 25% on 16 Dec 2022. Before it settled, across the 46 daily closes on record from 16 Dec 2022 to 31 Jan 2023 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 25% on 16 Dec 2022 and the lowest 2% on 21 Jan 2023. Its largest one-day move was 14 points down, to 9% on 13 Jan 2023. $44.78K traded over the market's life.
13 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 14, 10:51 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 125 points, 16 Dec 2022 – 17 May 2023
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Dec 2022 | 25.0% |
| 17 May 2023 | 50.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Violet Pioneer 85FA | Yes | 780.88K |
| Immense-Task | Yes | 2.5K |
| Stupendous-Neighbor | Yes | 1.16K |
Market group
Resolution source: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/fed-interest-rates-february-2023
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Yes |
| 1.15K |
| Happy-Slash | Yes | 1K |
| dogma | Yes | 979.86 |
| Acceptable-Tenth | Yes | 916.67 |
| Cobalt Tide 312D | Yes | 848.6 |
| Second-Hand-Terminal | Yes | 474 |
| Aware-Hybridisation | Yes | 84.38 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
