Analytics
Resolved Yes on 3 May 2023.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 95.5%. Yes opened at 46% on 23 Mar 2023. Before it settled, across the 38 daily closes on record from 23 Mar 2023 to 2 May 2023 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 95.5% on 1 May 2023 and the lowest 35% on 27 Mar 2023. Its largest one-day move was 26 points up, to 61% on 28 Mar 2023. $161.93K traded over the market's life.
4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 4, 6:04 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 51 points, 23 Mar 2023 – 17 May 2023
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 Mar 2023 | 46.0% |
| 17 May 2023 | 50.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Kindly-Detention | No | 1.96K |
| momoson | No | 300 |
| Cosmic Lynx 9ABB | No | 25 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This is a market group on how the U.S. Federal Reserve will set the upper bound of the target federal funds rate after their monthly meetings.
Resolution source: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/fed-interest-rates-may-2023
| No |
| 1.56 |
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