Analytics
Resolved No on 14 Jun 2023.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 94%. Yes opened at 50% on 4 May 2023. Before it settled, across the 41 daily closes on record from 4 May 2023 to 14 Jun 2023 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 63% on 28 May 2023 and the lowest 6% on 14 Jun 2023. Its largest one-day move was 39 points up, to 53.5% on 6 May 2023. $141.46K traded over the market's life.
12 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 15, 5:30 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 41 points, 4 May 2023 – 14 Jun 2023
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 May 2023 | 50.0% |
| 14 Jun 2023 | 6.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| masd | Yes | 18.38K |
| cryptofade | Yes | 1.74K |
| hmm | Yes | 1K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Market Group on June Fed interest rates.
Resolution source: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/fed-interest-rates-june-2023
| Yes |
| 855.54 |
| Halpo | Yes | 472.94 |
| Handmade-Randomisation | Yes | 217.75 |
| Cheremumi | Yes | 115 |
| Assured-Algebra | Yes | 40.25 |
| Considerate-Attention | Yes | 14.29 |
| Assured-Casket | Yes | 5 |
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