Analytics
Resolved No on 3 May 2023.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 96%. Yes opened at 50% on 23 Mar 2023. Before it settled, across the 38 daily closes on record from 23 Mar 2023 to 2 May 2023 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 68% on 27 Mar 2023 and the lowest 4% on 2 May 2023. Its largest one-day move was 14 points down, to 54% on 28 Mar 2023. $59.84K traded over the market's life.
5 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 4, 6:04 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 51 points, 23 Mar 2023 – 17 May 2023
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 Mar 2023 | 50.0% |
| 17 May 2023 | 50.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 0x677 | Yes | 1.5K |
| Kindly-Detention | Yes | 1.49K |
| HarvardInsider | Yes | 1.27K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This is a market group on how the U.S. Federal Reserve will set the upper bound of the target federal funds rate after their monthly meetings.
Resolution source: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/fed-interest-rates-may-2023
| Yes |
| 253.95 |
| pinkstenis | Yes | 1.45 |
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