Analytics
Resolved No on 3 May 2023.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99%. Yes opened at 6% on 23 Mar 2023. Before it settled, across the 38 daily closes on record from 23 Mar 2023 to 2 May 2023 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 6% on 23 Mar 2023 and the lowest 0.5% on 26 Apr 2023. $9.78K traded over the market's life.
2 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 3, 8:05 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 51 points, 23 Mar 2023 – 17 May 2023
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 Mar 2023 | 6.0% |
| 17 May 2023 | 50.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| HarvardInsider | Yes | 2.01K |
| Kindly-Detention | Yes | 543 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This is a market group on how the U.S. Federal Reserve will set the upper bound of the target federal funds rate after their monthly meetings.
Resolution source: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/fed-interest-rates-may-2023
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