Analytics
Resolved No on 26 Jul 2023.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.5%. Yes opened at 50% on 13 Jun 2023. Before it settled, across the 44 daily closes on record from 13 Jun 2023 to 26 Jul 2023, the highest close was 50% on 13 Jun 2023 and the lowest 0.5% on 4 Jul 2023. Its largest one-day move was 45 points down, to 1.5% on 15 Jun 2023. $18K traded over the market's life.
5 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 27, 3:48 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 44 points, 13 Jun 2023 – 26 Jul 2023
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 13 Jun 2023 | 50.0% |
| 26 Jul 2023 | 0.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Market Group on July Fed interest rates.
Resolution source: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/fed-interest-rates-july-2023
| Yes |
| 94 |
| Brûsk | Yes | 22 |
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