Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.4%. Yes opened at 52.5% on 24 Jun 2026. Before it settled, across the 70 daily closes on record from 24 Jun 2026 to 1 Sep 2026, the highest close was 52.5% on 24 Jun 2026 and the lowest 1.5% on 28 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 16 points down, to 25% on 2 Jul 2026. $2K traded over the market's life.
14 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 2, 6:54 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 70 points, 24 Jun 2026 – 1 Sep 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 24 Jun 2026 | 52.5% |
| 1 Sep 2026 | 1.7% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Jade Beacon E3EA | Yes | 144.04 |
| sanduspace | Yes | 100 |
| Pouloulou | No | 40 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Food and Drug Administration (FDA) announces that it has reclassified or will reclassify BPC-157 to Category 1 of the Bulk Drug Substances List by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement must be official and public. Any rumored or private statements of intention will not qualify. Any announcement that the drug has been reclassified to Category 1 will qualify. Any announcement within this market’s timeframe of future intention to reclassify to Category 1 will qualify regardless of whether the reclassification has happened by the listed date. A qualifying reclassification must be to Category 1 of the Bulk Drug Substances List or an equivalent classification that allows interim compounding of the drug. Removal from a different category will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official statements from the FDA; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/fda-moves-bpc-157-to-category-1-by-20260622202229566
| gonnakilmyslf | Yes | 26.75 |
| dropmeplease | Yes | 20 |
| Ethical-Bamboo | Yes | 14 |
| Ivory Quasar 70A8 | Yes | 14 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 10 |
| Bold Voyager BF80 | No | 5 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 4.99 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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