Will The Fate Of Ophelia by Taylor Swift be the Billboard #1 song for the week of January 17?

Resolved

Yes, settled Jan 14, 2026 UTC

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Lifetime volume

$13.2K

Resolved

Yes

Settled

Jan 14, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved Yes on 14 Jan 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 100%. Yes opened at 87% on 9 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 6 daily closes on record from 9 Jan 2026 to 14 Jan 2026, the highest close was 100% on 14 Jan 2026 and the lowest 87% on 9 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 9.3 points up, to 96.3% on 10 Jan 2026. $13.23K traded over the market's life.

23 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Jan 16, 7:52 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 9 Jan 2026 – 14 Jan 2026, chart shows 80%–100%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
9 Jan 2026	87.0%
14 Jan 2026	100.0%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	47.76K
TENETENET	No	500
ttj01	No	250
Bright Horizon 81D6	No	205

10 of 23 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”. This market will resolve according to the number 1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled “Week of January 17, 2026”. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be the Billboard Hot 100 chart (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/).