
Resolved No on 10 Oct 2023.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 50% on 5 Oct 2023. Before it settled, the high was 60% on 8 Oct 2023 and the low 0.1% on 10 Oct 2023. Its largest one-day move was 58 points down, to 1.9% on 9 Oct 2023. $7.26K traded over the market's life.
3 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 10, 6:33 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 6 points · 5 Oct 2023 – 10 Oct 2023
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 5 Oct 2023 | 50.0% |
| 10 Oct 2023 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| elPolloLoco | Yes | 280 |
| xyxy-637 | Yes | 0.06 |
| igot | Yes | 0.02 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This is a market on how much 'The Exorcist: Believer' (2023) will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The “Domestic Weekend” tab on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt12921446/ will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (October 6 - October 8) are final (i.e. not studio estimates). This market will resolve to "Yes" if ‘The Exorcist: Believer' (2023) grosses more than $28,000,000 on its 3-day opening weekend. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Opening weekend is defined as the first Friday, Saturday, and Sunday of the film's release. Please note, this market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo number under Domestic Weekend for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is no final data available by October 16, 2023, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Resolution source: https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt12921446/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-the-exorcist-believer-gross-over-28m-opening-weekend
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page