Will the Eurozone’s October 2025 unemployment rate be ≥6.6%?

Resolved

No, settled Dec 2, 2025 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$2.6K

Resolved

Settled

Dec 2, 2025 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 2 Dec 2025.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.2%. Yes opened at 21.5% on 25 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 8 daily closes on record from 25 Nov 2025 to 2 Dec 2025, the highest close was 21.5% on 25 Nov 2025 and the lowest 0.7% on 29 Nov 2025. Its largest one-day move was 18 points down, to 3.1% on 26 Nov 2025. $2.59K traded over the market's life.

15 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Dec 3, 4:37 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 8 points, 25 Nov 2025 – 2 Dec 2025, chart shows 0%–30%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
25 Nov 2025	21.5%
2 Dec 2025	1.8%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Bright Horizon 81D6	Yes	1.04K
Indigo Signal 2966	No	931.27
Crimson Vector F03A	Yes	179.85
Bright Signal 14DE	Yes	167.5

10 of 15 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate reported by Eurostat in the Euro Area Unemployment release for October 2025. The resolution source for this market is the Euro Area Unemployment release, published by Eurostat every month at https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators. The next data release is scheduled for December 2, 2025. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution. If no data for October is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.