Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98%. Yes opened at 10% on 2 Aug 2026. Before it settled, the high was 10% on 2 Aug 2026 and the low 0.5% on 27 Aug 2026. $586.91 traded over the market's life.
4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 2, 4:26 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 31 points · 2 Aug 2026 – 1 Sep 2026 · axis zoomed to 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Aug 2026 | 10.0% |
| 1 Sep 2026 | 2.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| TENETENET | Yes | 100 |
| 74744886D1081ab236510E04c5b617b914A3Cef7. | Yes | 100 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 15 |
| bjprolo | Yes | 10 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Volmex 1 minute candle for the Ethereum Volmex Implied Volatility 30 Day Index (EVIV) between the creation of this market and 23:59 ET on the date specified in the title has a final "High" or "Low" value equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed value. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Volmex, specifically the Ethereum Volmex Implied Volatility 30 Day Index "High" and "Low" values available at https://charts.volmex.finance/symbol/EVIV, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the data from the Ethereum Volmex Implied Volatility 30 Day Index chart. Values from other exchanges or different indexes will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-the-ethereum-implied-volatility-index-hit-by-august-31-2026
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