Will the Ethereum Volatility Index hit 60 by September 30?

cryptoResolved

No, settled Oct 1, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$553

Resolved

Settled

Oct 1, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 1 Oct 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 50.5%. Yes opened at 45.5% on 2 Sep 2026. Before it settled, across the 30 daily closes on record from 2 Sep 2026 to 1 Oct 2026, the highest close was 79.5% on 7 Sep 2026 and the lowest 45.5% on 2 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 30 points down, to 50% on 29 Sep 2026. $553 traded over the market's life.

4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Oct 2, 4:01 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 30 points, 2 Sep 2026 – 1 Oct 2026

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
greeting2	Yes	20
TENETENET	Yes	10
bjprolo	Yes	8
triklozoid	Yes	5

4 of 4 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Volmex 1 minute candle for the Ethereum Volmex Implied Volatility 30 Day Index (EVIV) between the creation of this market and 23:59 ET on the date specified in the title has a final “High” or “Low” value equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed value. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market is Volmex, specifically the Ethereum Volmex Implied Volatility 30 Day Index “High” and “Low” values available at https://charts.volmex.finance/symbol/EVIV, with the chart settings on “1m” for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the data from the Ethereum Volmex Implied Volatility 30 Day Index chart. Values from other exchanges or different indexes will not be considered for the resolution of this market.