
Resolved No on 1 Nov 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 97%. Yes opened at 12% on 22 Oct 2025. Before it settled, the high was 44% on 27 Oct 2025 and the low 3% on 1 Nov 2025. Its largest one-day move was 34 points up, to 44% on 27 Oct 2025. $2.71K traded over the market's life.
11 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 2, 8:32 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 11 points, 22 Oct 2025 – 1 Nov 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 Oct 2025 | 12.0% |
| 1 Nov 2025 | 3.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 1.96K |
| Bright Signal 14DE | Yes | 137 |
| PanosMariolis2001 | Yes | 63.57 |
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Yes | 30 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed piece(s) of jewelry stolen from the Louvre’s Galerie d’Apollon are officially confirmed as recovered by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A single complete item (e.g., a tiara, brooch, or one earring from a pair) will suffice for a “Yes” resolution for that piece or set, even if a element like a pearl or a stone is missing; however, recovery of only a fragment, detached gem, or partial component (e.g., a loose stone or frame fragment) will not suffice. The primary resolution source will be official statements from the Louvre Museum or the French government. If no such statement is available, the market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/which-of-the-stolen-louvre-jewels-will-be-recovered-by-october-31
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 27 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 14 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 14 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | Yes | 11 |
| Solar Meteor 7A9A | Yes | 5 |
| IberianLynx | Yes | 4.35 |
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