Analytics
Resolved Yes on 28 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 83.5%. Yes opened at 71.5% on 23 Nov 2024. Before it settled, the high was 83.5% on 28 Jan 2025 and the low 48.5% on 19 Dec 2024. Its largest one-day move was 21 points down, to 48.5% on 19 Dec 2024. $231.31K traded over the market's life.
39 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 29, 5:39 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 67 points · 23 Nov 2024 – 28 Jan 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 Nov 2024 | 71.5% |
| 28 Jan 2025 | 83.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| AlexN1ght | No | 511.1 |
| TaoTeChing | No | 497.14 |
| jakesunil | No | 47.57 |
| Aat97 | No | 45.45 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
The Doomsday Clock is a symbolic clock face that represents the likelihood of a man-made global catastrophe, maintained since 1947 by the members of the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists. The closer the clock is set to midnight, the closer the scientists believe the world is to global disaster. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Doomsday Clock is set closer to midnight (i.e. closer than 90 seconds to midnight, see https://thebulletin.org/doomsday-clock/#nav_menu) during the yearly meeting of the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists scheduled for January 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the Doomsday Clock setting is delayed this market's resolution may be delayed until the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists' 2025 release is published. If no release is published by June 30, 2025 ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be information released by the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-the-doomsday-clock-move-closer-to-midnight-in-2025
| chetdothanthanh | No | 19.23 |
| Rhodophyta | No | 18.18 |
| MakakoDeOculos | Yes | 7.35 |
| zolw1245 | Yes | 7.25 |
| Steener | No | 5.56 |
| Baaan | No | 4 |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
