Analytics
Resolved No on 23 Jan 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 20%. Yes opened at 52.5% on 7 Dec 2023. Before it settled, the high was 83% on 20 Jan 2024 and the low 48.5% on 17 Dec 2023. Its largest one-day move was 22 points up, to 70.5% on 22 Dec 2023. $19.13K traded over the market's life.
1 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 24, 7:05 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 48 points · 7 Dec 2023 – 23 Jan 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 7 Dec 2023 | 52.5% |
| 23 Jan 2024 | 80.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| artest | Yes | 11.9 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
The Doomsday Clock is a symbolic clock face that represents the likelihood of a man-made global catastrophe, maintained since 1947 by the members of the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists. The closer the clock is set to midnight, the closer the scientists believe the world is to global disaster. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Doomsday Clock is set closer to midnight (i.e. closer than 90 seconds to midnight, see https://thebulletin.org/doomsday-clock/#nav_menu) during the yearly meeting of the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists scheduled for January 2024 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the Doomsday Clock setting is delayed this market's resolution may be delayed until the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists' 2024 release is published. If no release is published by December 31, 2024 ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be information released by the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists.
Resolution source: https://thebulletin.org/doomsday-clock/#nav_menu
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-the-doomsday-clock-move-closer-to-midnight-in-2024
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