Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 50% on 22 Oct 2025. Before it settled, across the 73 daily closes on record from 22 Oct 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 51% on 29 Oct 2025 and the lowest 0.3% on 31 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 23 points down, to 21.5% on 17 Nov 2025. $7.15K traded over the market's life.
24 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 2, 4:29 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 73 points, 22 Oct 2025 – 1 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 Oct 2025 | 50.0% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Snti.0x | Yes | 724.48 |
| tailevent | Yes | 600 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 437 |
This market will resolve "Yes" if the bill listed is signed into law by the President of the United States by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A bill will only qualify if it receives the President’s signature and becomes law through the normal legislative process. Vetoed bills, bills passed only by one chamber, or those that fail to reach the President’s desk, will not qualify. The primary resolution source will be official information from Congress.gov or the White House; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if ambiguity arises.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-bills-will-be-signed-into-law-by-december-31
| Yes |
| 237.48 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 133 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | Yes | 109 |
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Yes | 91 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 72.96 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | Yes | 59 |
| luuuur | Yes | 56 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
