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Paper trading
Resolved No on 4 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 34.4% on 16 Feb 2026. Before it settled, the high was 34.4% on 16 Feb 2026 and the low 0.2% on 4 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 18 points down, to 16.8% on 17 Feb 2026. $59.86K traded over the market's life.
54 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 27, 4:51 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 17 points, 16 Feb 2026 – 4 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Feb 2026 | 34.4% |
| 4 Mar 2026 | 0.2% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 30.8K |
| cry.eth2 | Yes | 5.65K |
| products | Yes | 2.38K |
| udikqe1 | Yes | 1.94K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to the calendar date range (ET) of the end date of the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026. The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/when-will-the-dhs-shutdown-end
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| mber | Yes | 1.34K |
| TENETENET | Yes | 1K |
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| Exalted-Enclosure | Yes | 822.33 |
| BAO95889 | Yes | 640.17 |
| human.bean | Yes | 484.62 |