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Paper trading
Resolved No on 12 Sep 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 6% on 5 Sep 2024. Before it settled, the high was 8.5% on 6 Sep 2024 and the low 0.1% on 12 Sep 2024. $71.09K traded over the market's life.
7 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 13, 2:17 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 8 points, 5 Sep 2024 – 12 Sep 2024, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 5 Sep 2024 | 6.0% |
| 12 Sep 2024 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 44.56K |
| MatrixMember | Yes | 3.06K |
| dirkdiggler | Yes | 300 |
| qrpenc | Yes | 300 |
| Monumental-Yoga | Yes | 63.03 |
| hershelSquirt | Yes | 61.85 |
| BabyYoda12 | Yes | 0.01 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market refers to the first presidential debate between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump during the 2024 election cycle. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first presidential debate between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump, currently scheduled for September 10, 2024 has 50,000,000 (inclusive) to 55,000,000 (exclusive) viewers according to Nielsen. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no in-person debate happens before election day, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be information from Nielsen, specifically their Persons 2+ statistic. If a debate takes place, and Nielsen does not provide viewership information for the debate within 10 days, another credible source may be chosen.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-many-viewers-will-the-debate-get
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