Analytics
Resolved No on 30 Apr 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.5%. Yes opened at 50% on 26 Mar 2025. Before it settled, across the 36 daily closes on record from 26 Mar 2025 to 30 Apr 2025, the highest close was 57.5% on 29 Apr 2025 and the lowest 0.5% on 30 Apr 2025. Its largest one-day move was 57 points down, to 0.5% on 30 Apr 2025. $597.38K traded over the market's life.
38 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 1, 8:20 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 36 points, 26 Mar 2025 – 30 Apr 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 26 Mar 2025 | 50.0% |
| 30 Apr 2025 | 0.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 88.27K |
| kosmitic | Yes | 13.49K |
| BabyYoda12 | Yes | 7.59K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
The 2025 Canadian federal election will be held on April 28 to elect members of the House of Commons to the 45th Canadian Parliament. This market will resolve according to the party that wins the most seats in the House of Commons in British Columbia as a result of the next Canadian general election. If voting in the next Canadian general election does not occur by December 31, 2025, this market will resolve to "No". In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won in British Columbia, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by this party, not any coalition of which it may be a part. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/which-party-wins-most-seats-in-british-columbia
| Yes |
| 207.72 |
| Gamblers-for-Harris-2024 | Yes | 159.24 |
| fattonyza | Yes | 104.17 |
| CaruiSlave | Yes | 100 |
| Yodadao | Yes | 78 |
| timarion | Yes | 47 |
| kmoneyman | Yes | 46.51 |
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