Analytics
Resolved Yes on 30 Apr 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 98.6%. Yes opened at 55.5% on 23 Apr 2025. Before it settled, across the 8 daily closes on record from 23 Apr 2025 to 30 Apr 2025, the highest close was 98.6% on 30 Apr 2025 and the lowest 55.5% on 23 Apr 2025. Its largest one-day move was 22 points up, to 77.5% on 29 Apr 2025. $4.28K traded over the market's life.
Polymarket record as of May 1, 8:20 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 8 points, 23 Apr 2025 – 30 Apr 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 Apr 2025 | 55.5% |
| 30 Apr 2025 | 98.6% |
Polymarket lists no holders for this market.
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The 2025 Canadian federal election will be held on April 28 to elect members of the House of Commons to the 45th Canadian Parliament. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Conservative party wins 37 or more seats in the House of Commons in Ontario as a result of the next Canadian general election. If voting in the next Canadian general election does not occur by December 31, 2025, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-the-conservative-party-win-37-seats-in-ontario
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