Analytics
Resolved No on 4 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 36.5% on 24 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 116 daily closes on record from 24 Dec 2025 to 4 May 2026 (16 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 43% on 28 Dec 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 29 Apr 2026. Its largest one-day move was 38 points down, to 5.5% on 29 Dec 2025. $17.24K traded over the market's life.
41 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 5, 4:06 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 116 points, 24 Dec 2025 – 4 May 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 24 Dec 2025 | 36.5% |
| 4 May 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 17.75K |
| cry.eth2 | Yes | 2.65K |
| Indigo Tide 215D | Yes | 1.25K |
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Assam, India, in March–May 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/assam-legislative-assembly-election-winner
| Shark91 | Yes | 505 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 499.99 |
| pd.unique | Yes | 335.27 |
| Deafening-Possible | Yes | 299.99 |
| lgjldfskjlksdj | Yes | 271.69 |
| Bold Voyager E173 | Yes | 225.63 |
| Surprised-Point | Yes | 200 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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