Analytics
Resolved Yes on 4 Feb 2023.
$29.23K traded over the market's life.
3 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 14, 10:51 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 79 points, 4 Feb 2023 – 17 May 2023
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Feb 2023 | 15.0% |
| 17 May 2023 | 50.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Rapid Meteor ACFB | No | 315.03K |
| Well-Worn-Interpretation | No | 40 |
| Coral Pulse E1A2 | No | 40 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Chinese spy balloon" reported floating over US territory is destroyed, downed, or otherwise grounded by any means by February 5, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The balloon's destruction, downing, or grounding will trigger a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether it occurs naturally or artificially. If the balloon lands in or is otherwise downed into the ocean, it will trigger a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements made by the governments of the United States of America and/or China, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-the-chinese-spy-balloon-be-down-by-february-5
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