Analytics
Resolved No on 2 Oct 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 95%. Yes opened at 25% on 2 Jul 2025. Before it settled, across the 93 daily closes on record from 2 Jul 2025 to 2 Oct 2025, the highest close was 50% on 7 Sep 2025 and the lowest 5% on 1 Oct 2025. Its largest one-day move was 45 points down, to 5% on 1 Oct 2025. $10 traded over the market's life.
1 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 2, 7:17 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 93 points, 2 Jul 2025 – 2 Oct 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Jul 2025 | 25.0% |
| 2 Oct 2025 | 5.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the next NBA team that Jonathan Kuminga is either traded to, or signs a contract with (via free agency or sign-and-trade). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jonathan Kuminga is signed or traded to the listed team. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Jonathan Kuminga signs a new contract with the Golden State Warriors to play for them in the 2025–26 NBA season, or is not traded or signed by a new team by October 1, 2025 at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Golden State Warriors.” The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the NBA, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/nba-free-agency-jonathan-kuminga-next-team
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