Analytics
Resolved No on 6 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 97.9%. Yes opened at 20% on 18 Dec 2024. Before it settled, across the 20 daily closes on record from 18 Dec 2024 to 6 Jan 2025, the highest close was 20% on 18 Dec 2024 and the lowest 2.1% on 5 Jan 2025. Its largest one-day move was 11 points down, to 9.5% on 19 Dec 2024. $11.23K traded over the market's life.
4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 7, 3:35 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 20 points, 18 Dec 2024 – 6 Jan 2025, chart shows 0%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 18 Dec 2024 | 20.0% |
| 6 Jan 2025 | 2.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 4.75K |
| Silver Oracle 0CDF | Yes | 40 |
| baerwiththegewehr | No | 0.01 |
| wokerjoesleeper | No | 0.01 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This is a market group over who will win the Golden Globe for Best Screenplay - Motion Picture.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/golden-globes-best-screenplay
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