Analytics
Resolved No on 13 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 0.6% on 29 Aug 2024. Before it settled, across the 138 daily closes on record from 29 Aug 2024 to 13 Jan 2025, the highest close was 20.6% on 7 Oct 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 13 Jan 2025. Its largest one-day move was 19 points up, to 20.6% on 7 Oct 2024. $340.7K traded over the market's life.
65 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 13, 8:19 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 138 points, 29 Aug 2024 – 13 Jan 2025, chart shows 0%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 29 Aug 2024 | 0.6% |
| 13 Jan 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 170.33K |
| TimeQuestion | Yes | 2.12K |
| elitealpha | Yes | 858.37 |
AFC Champion
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/afc-champion
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Yes |
| 500 |
| kingfisher | Yes | 57.69 |
| PolyDump | Yes | 40 |
| Twizzler | Yes | 40 |
| PalladiumHarbingerVista | Yes | 22.04 |
| FlickeringTundraSpruce | Yes | 20.61 |
| Jaded-Teenager | Yes | 19.55 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
