Analytics
Resolved No on 17 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.5%. Yes opened at 15.5% on 12 Aug 2026. Before it settled, across the 6 daily closes on record from 12 Aug 2026 to 17 Aug 2026, the highest close was 15.5% on 12 Aug 2026 and the lowest 0.5% on 17 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 12 points down, to 4% on 13 Aug 2026. $433.22 traded over the market's life.
4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 18, 1:54 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 12 Aug 2026 – 17 Aug 2026, chart shows 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Aug 2026 | 15.5% |
| 17 Aug 2026 | 0.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Mojito9 | Yes | 20 |
| bjprolo | Yes | 12 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 10 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the displayed Rotten Tomatoes "All Critics" Tomatometer score for The Brink of War is at least equal to the specified number at 10:00 AM ET on August 17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If, for any reason, the resolution data is unavailable at this market's specified end time, the resolution source will be checked until the relevant data is available. This market will resolve to "No" if no data is available by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/the-brink-of-war-rotten-tomatoes-score-20260810195038377
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