Will the Blue Bloc win by 1–4 seats?

Resolved

No, settled Sep 10, 2025 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$229.0K

Resolved

Settled

Sep 10, 2025 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 10 Sep 2025.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 26% on 22 Aug 2025. Before it settled, across the 20 daily closes on record from 22 Aug 2025 to 10 Sep 2025, the highest close was 26% on 22 Aug 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 10 Sep 2025. Its largest one-day move was 12 points down, to 12.5% on 24 Aug 2025. $229.03K traded over the market's life.

13 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Sep 12, 12:50 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 20 points, 22 Aug 2025 – 10 Sep 2025, chart shows 0%–40%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
22 Aug 2025	26.0%
10 Sep 2025	0.1%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
GayPride	Yes	100K
Indigo Signal 2966	No	7.94K
escapeNails	Yes	1K
Pitiful-Drama	Yes	775

10 of 13 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

The 2025 Norwegian parliamentary election will be held on Monday, 8 September 2025, to elect members of the 171-seat Storting (Norway’s parliament). This market will resolve according to the difference in the number of seats controlled in the Storting between the Red Bloc and the Blue Bloc as a result of the next Norwegian parliamentary election (e.g. Red Bloc controls 90, Blue Bloc controls 70, difference = 20). the results of this election are not known by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The blue bloc in Norway refers to the following four parties—Conservative (H), Progress (FrP), Liberal (V), and Christian Democratic (KrF). The red bloc in Norway refers to the following five parties—Labour (Ap), Socialist Left (SV), Red (R), Centre (Sp), and the Green Party (MDG). This market's resolution will be based on the number of seats held by the listed parties regardless of if they end up forming a coalition. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Norway's government (e.g. via https://www.valg.no/en/).