Analytics
Resolved No on 1 May 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 0.4% on 5 Mar 2025. Before it settled, across the 58 daily closes on record from 5 Mar 2025 to 1 May 2025, the price held at 0.4%. $190.43K traded over the market's life.
10 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 2, 12:22 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 58 points, 5 Mar 2025 – 1 May 2025, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 5 Mar 2025 | 0.4% |
| 1 May 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 361.48K |
| Libraritun | Yes | 2.12K |
| German1 | Yes | 500 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
The next Canadian general election will take place on or before October 20, 2025, to elect members of the House of Commons to the 45th Canadian Parliament. This market will resolve to the party that wins popular vote in the next Canadian general election. Winning the popular vote is defined as receiving the largest total number of votes regardless of seats won. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/which-party-will-win-the-popular-vote-in-the-next-canadian-election
| Yes |
| 380 |
| Siziriv | Yes | 259.05 |
| PolyDump | Yes | 100 |
| Twizzler | Yes | 100 |
| Neon Beacon C837 | No | 6.88 |
| DDtYXBhoPd | Yes | 0.14 |
| fkuUMA | No | 0.01 |
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