Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jun 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 52% on 1 May 2026. Before it settled, the high was 66% on 4 May 2026 and the low 0.4% on 1 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 44 points down, to 9.5% on 24 May 2026. $2.76K traded over the market's life.
16 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 2, 4:16 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 32 points · 1 May 2026 – 1 Jun 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 May 2026 | 52.0% |
| 1 Jun 2026 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| dunkechun | Yes | 237.14 |
| piebuya | Yes | 229.8 |
| haoyeyue | Yes | 225.28 |
| shaozenxing | Yes | 204.55 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
What will the Bitcoin implied volatility index hit by May 31?
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-the-bitcoin-implied-volatility-index-hit-by-may-31
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| luchuanghuai | Yes | 172.73 |
| Olka | Yes | 161.06 |
| zijiashao | Yes | 148.94 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 100 |
| .Menthe | Yes | 50 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 50 |
